Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 77101.104968 81463.231911 85827.681606 90518.926058 95415.575850 100372.638092 105766.963496
2025-02-16 69025.341599 75635.928511 82440.961156 89959.706880 98024.045405 106403.793926 115759.424104
2025-02-23 63869.110014 72023.826218 80607.576146 90295.889491 100905.789039 112150.630025 124948.283858
2025-03-02 59744.030649 69024.434849 78977.633586 90412.615372 103152.101802 116873.753785 132735.114627
2025-03-09 57122.680507 67392.445417 78585.517291 91641.126454 106399.145130 122512.292078 141381.745752
2025-03-16 54001.867789 64962.738492 77088.466529 91430.169259 107858.675142 126018.103181 147534.699876
2025-03-23 52231.929733 63932.588280 77049.142743 92754.402349 110955.535179 131291.665285 155633.677111
2025-03-30 50399.922772 62708.260176 76678.871063 93599.990564 113423.758646 135794.213338 162823.353898
2025-04-06 48349.661288 61115.199317 75779.338263 93736.741130 114992.588979 139206.144357 168721.942634
2025-04-13 46378.044021 59519.182187 74788.867990 93684.580165 116270.720140 142229.383858 174136.315642
2025-04-20 45309.414005 58953.094656 74971.910708 94982.219266 119110.888637 147063.120978 181674.902405
2025-04-27 44229.404466 58317.297966 75023.589118 96081.956378 121687.430866 151574.963615 188842.851017
2025-05-04 42903.407525 57342.935820 74641.522702 96647.416693 123632.156884 155369.860175 195223.797176
2025-05-11 41392.777003 56083.104917 73862.366664 96687.276232 124911.937243 158358.086938 200648.892249
2025-05-18 40198.001525 55174.721872 73476.558044 97175.858172 126713.689722 161963.002531 206822.684565
2025-05-25 38918.420254 54109.363507 72851.226025 97327.367396 128070.285390 165010.882377 212319.952035
2025-06-01 38252.480895 53806.849859 73163.664955 98637.116275 130855.594819 169808.158843 219974.963573
2025-06-08 36934.195151 52607.601735 72294.223946 98414.428505 131696.020207 172197.531450 224670.298561
2025-06-15 36405.630414 52426.224162 72712.386909 99820.097259 134581.853059 177123.912832 232523.404114
2025-06-22 35688.043045 51966.393675 72748.101286 100717.459879 136815.406181 181242.774911 239393.930576
2025-06-29 34690.288132 51097.709723 72221.909436 100862.577559 138071.633158 184131.865810 244735.870842
2025-07-06 33658.323264 50150.198073 71562.594655 100807.232034 139049.784839 186659.977618 249626.025237
2025-07-13 33251.766723 50041.943528 72001.537391 102184.052074 141875.959593 191533.481521 257497.471201